Fairfield
W-L: ( 4-10) PR = 90.3379Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Lehigh Patriot ( 8- 8, 94.7) 14-13 214 H Brown Ivy ( 6- 7, 93.2) 8-10 218 A Sacred Heart MAAC (11- 4, 90.9) 12-13 221 A Manhattan MAAC ( 4-10, 85.3) 15- 9 228 A Providence Big East ( 8- 9, 92.5) 8- 7 307 H Yale Ivy ( 9- 5, 96.8) 14-15 310 H Dartmouth Ivy ( 4- 9, 93.2) 10-16 314 H Hampton CAA ( 0-12, 79.3) 26- 7 321 A Drexel CAA ( 9- 6, 92.9) 11-13 328 H Stony Brook CAA (10- 5, 92.0) 10-16 404 A Hofstra CAA ( 4-10, 89.2) 6-13 411 H Holy Cross (MA) Patriot ( 6- 8, 90.3) 12-13 418 H Towson CAA (11- 4, 95.3) 5- 7 425 A Monmouth CAA ( 6- 7, 89.6) 11-14
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Lehigh 14-13 1 -6 +++ 6.77
214 H Brown 8-10 -2 -1 -0.53
218 A Sacred Heart 12-13 -1 -2 0.92
221 A Manhattan 15- 9 6 4 + 2.38
228 A Providence 8- 7 1 -4 ++ 4.57
307 H Yale 14-15 -1 -5 ++ 4.11
310 H Dartmouth 10-16 -6 -1 -- -4.56
314 H Hampton 26- 7 19 12 0.00
321 A Drexel 11-13 -2 -4 1.95
328 H Stony Brook 10-16 -6 0 -- -5.71
404 A Hofstra 6-13 -7 0 --- -6.74
411 H Holy Cross (MA) 12-13 -1 1 - -2.44
418 H Towson 5- 7 -2 -4 1.62
425 A Monmouth 11-14 -3 -1 - -2.35
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 A Hofstra 6-13 -7 0 --- -6.74 310 H Dartmouth 10-16 -6 -1 -- -4.56 328 H Stony Brook 10-16 -6 0 -- -5.71 411 H Holy Cross (MA) 12-13 -1 1 - -2.44 425 A Monmouth 11-14 -3 -1 - -2.35 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 A Lehigh 14-13 1 -6 +++ 6.77 228 A Providence 8- 7 1 -4 ++ 4.57 307 H Yale 14-15 -1 -5 ++ 4.11 221 A Manhattan 15- 9 6 4 + 2.38 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Lehigh ( 8- 8, 94.7) 14-13 -5.16 15.43 1.38 1.02 34.37
3 H Brown ( 6- 7, 93.2) 8-10 -6.72 13.88 -1.38 1.02 -4.14
3 A Sacred Heart (11- 4, 90.9) 12-13 -9.02 11.58 1.38 1.02 -3.91
3 A Manhattan ( 4-10, 85.3) 15- 9 -14.56 6.04 1.38 1.02 15.16
3 A Providence ( 8- 9, 92.5) 8- 7 -7.36 13.24 1.38 1.02 29.87
3 H Yale ( 9- 5, 96.8) 14-15 -3.07 17.52 -1.38 1.02 -2.27
3 H Dartmouth ( 4- 9, 93.2) 10-16 -6.75 13.85 -1.38 1.02 -4.15
3 H Hampton ( 0-12, 79.3) 26- 7 -20.60 1.00 -1.38 1.02 -0.77
3 A Drexel ( 9- 6, 92.9) 11-13 -6.99 13.61 1.38 1.02 -2.87
3 H Stony Brook (10- 5, 92.0) 10-16 -7.89 12.70 -1.38 1.02 -4.74
3 A Hofstra ( 4-10, 89.2) 6-13 -10.67 9.92 1.38 1.02 -4.75
3 H Holy Cross (MA ( 6- 8, 90.3) 12-13 -9.63 10.97 -1.38 1.02 -5.63
3 H Towson (11- 4, 95.3) 5- 7 -4.57 16.03 -1.38 1.02 -3.04
3 A Monmouth ( 6- 7, 89.6) 11-14 -10.29 10.31 1.38 1.02 -4.55
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38.59
|
winning pts = 78.6347 losing points = -40.0468
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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